Winter began at 6:12 a.m. Thursday – but what lies ahead for us after a year filled with downpours, a hurricane and an early snowstorm?
According to The Old Farmer's Almanac, the 2012-13 Winter Season for Long Island and the rest of the Atlantic Corridor will be bone-chillingly cold and drier than average winters.
The almanac predicts the coldest days this winter are coming rather quickly – from Christmas through early January and early to mid-February. The go-to-guide also suggests the snowiest periods this year would be around mid-December, around Christmas and into February.
On the whole, the almanac suggests our area will see about 3.5 inches less precipitation (in rainfall) than a normal winter and temperatures will drop from anywhere to between 1-5 degrees below the norm.
The almanac is, of course, not always correct – last winter, it called for a cold and very snow season ahead. The 2011-12 winter, however, only produced a few snowstorms, with the most occurring way before the season started in October 2011.
In the short-term, National Weather Service forecasts are calling for a cold period starting tonight that coincides with The Almanac's prediction. Other forecasters are already seeing the development of a potential snowstorm right after Christmas and another around New Year's Eve.
However, forecasts, especially those over five days out, can change in the blink of an eye.
Expected Forecast for Long Island & Atlantic CorridorDecember January February March Average Temp. 38° 35° 29° 46.5° Precipitation 4.5" 2.5" 1" 5" Overall Forecast Snowy end of month Snow/Rain then Dry Mostly Dry Mostly Rainy